Bordo and Flandreau 2001: Core and periphery, and the fear of floating [pdf]
Restrict capital flows?
Eichengreen et al. (IMF) 1999: Do liberalize capital movements, but carefully
IMF & World Bank 2000: They do try to work together [pdf]
Hufbauer and Wada (IIE) 1999: A further view on benefits, hazards, and precautions [pdf]
Why instability?
Aghion, Bacchetta, Banerjee 2000: A view on the causes instability [pdf] If credit is short, investment depends on how wealthy owners are. That's particulary bad in a crisis because wealth gets reduced. Middle-income countries are most likely to suffer.
Caballero, Krishnamurthy 2002 (harder to read): Another view on the causes instability [pdf] Why do so many countries borrow in foreign rather than domestic currency? Foreign-currency denomination makes debt more risky. And there are troubling incentives to underinsure against depreciation. That's why borrowers like foreign currency.
Why crises?
Corsetti, Morris, Shin 1999 (a third-generation exploration): Is one Soros enough? [pdf]
Obstfeld 1994 (a second-generation exploration): Another logic [pdf]
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